The current earnings season has highlighted the uneven impact of tariffs on tech companies, with businesses heavily reliant on advertising appearing more resilient in the short term compared to those dependent on consumer spending.
Advertising-heavy companies seem to be holding steady for now, while consumer-focused models are beginning to feel the strain of slowing spending. This disparity is evident in the recent performance of various tech giants.
Impact on Major Tech Companies
Apple, for instance, is anticipating an additional $900 million in costs due to tariffs this quarter. The company’s CEO, Tim Cook, noted the difficulty in predicting beyond the current timeframe due to the uncertainty surrounding tariff policies. Apple is adapting by sourcing products from India and Vietnam, where tariffs are lower.
Amazon, whose e-commerce business relies significantly on sellers shipping from China, is also feeling the pressure. The company issued cautious guidance for the current quarter, citing ‘tariffs and trade policies’ and ‘recessionary fears’ as factors. However, Amazon’s advertising business showed a silver lining with a 19% year-over-year increase.
Other ad-heavy businesses, such as Alphabet and Meta, reported strong ad revenue results. Alphabet saw a year-over-year jump in ad revenue, while Meta’s ad revenues exceeded estimates. However, both companies warned of potential challenges ahead due to changes in tariff policies and shifts in advertiser spending.
Broader Economic Concerns
The impact of tariffs and consumer sentiment is not limited to the tech sector. Airlines, restaurants, and consumer retailers are also experiencing the effects. Delta Airlines adjusted its growth plans for 2025 and reduced its first-quarter guidance due to weakening demand. Chipotle Mexican Grill attributed a decline in same-store sales to a ‘slowdown in consumer spending.’
Consumer confidence in the U.S. is also waning, with the Conference Board’s consumer confidence survey expectations index falling to its lowest level since October 2011. This reading is consistent with recession concerns.
As the situation continues to evolve, tech companies and other businesses are navigating the challenges posed by tariff uncertainties and shifting consumer behavior.